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IPL 2025 playoffs race explained: RCB in pole position as 7 teams in top 4 battle

The race to the playoffs is heating up in the Indian Premier League (IPL) 2025. Even after 55 completed games in the 70-match league stage, not a single playoff spot has been secured. On Monday, 5 May, Delhi Capitals were saved by rain in Hyderabad as they escaped with a point after a dismal batting display. Sitting fifth on the table, Delhi produced one of their poorest batting performances of the season, labouring to 133 for 7 in 20 overs. However, the rain gods spared them further blushes as SunRisers were denied the chance to chase.

While it marked the end of SunRisers Hyderabad’s hopes of making the playoffs, Delhi stayed alive, picking up a crucial point to keep the pressure on the top four.

As we head into the final two weeks of the league stage, Royal Challengers Bengaluru, Punjab Kings, Mumbai Indians and Gujarat Titans are locked in a battle to secure a top-two finish. Delhi Capitals, defending champions Kolkata Knight Riders, and Lucknow Super Giants remain in the hunt for playoff berths.

Meanwhile, three former champions — SRH, Chennai Super Kings, and Rajasthan Royals — have bowed out of the race for the playoffs.

While breaking into the top four remains the primary aim for the seven contenders, the leading teams are eyeing a top-two spot, which offers an extra opportunity to reach the final, with the loser of Qualifier 1 getting another shot in Qualifier 2 against the winner of the Eliminator.

RCB are in pole position at the moment, aiming for a top-two finish for the first time since they finished runners-up in 2016. Although they have reached the playoffs four times since 2016, they have failed to make the final on each occasion. This time, RCB will be eager to break that pattern and capitalise on the momentum they have built this season.

IPL 2025 POINTS TABLE

IPL PLAYOFFS SCENARIOS EXPLAINED

HOW RCB CAN FINISH IN TOP 2

Worst-case scenario: If RCB lose all 3 games, they stay stuck at 16 points. This could drop them out of the top 2, or even to 4th/5th, if teams like PBKS, GT, MI, and DC win their games and overtake them on points and NRR.

RCB – Next Matches

HOW PBKS CAN FINISH IN TOP 2

Worst-case scenario: Losing all 3 would leave them on 15 points, which may not even secure a playoff spot if teams below them (DC, KKR) surge past 16-18 points. They risk finishing 5th or 6th in that case.

PBKS – Next Matches

HOW MI CAN FINISH IN TOP 2

Worst case: If they lose all 3, they end on 14 points. That could see them miss out on playoffs entirely (finish 5th or 6th) if DC, KKR, or even LSG win out and go past 14. Their great NRR will help in a tie, but not if they’re behind on points.

MI – Next Matches

HOW GT CAN FINISH IN TOP 2

Worst case: If GT lose all 4, they end stuck on 14. That would almost certainly knock them out of the playoffs (finish 5th or 6th).

GT – Next Matches

HOW DC CAN FINISH IN TOP 2

Worst case: If DC lose all 3, they stay on 13. That could see them drop to 6th or 7th, missing the playoffs entirely. They are the most vulnerable among the top 5 right now.

DC – Next Matches

HOW KKR CAN FINISH IN TOP 2

Worst case: If they lose all 3, they end on 11 points — mathematically out of playoff contention (likely finish 7th or 8th). Their margin for error is zero.

KKR – Next Matches

HOW LSG CAN FINISH IN TOP 4

Worst case: If they lose all 3, they stay at 10 points — officially eliminated, likely 8th or 9th.

LSG – Next Matches

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