ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Map and Update, June 16, 2025

Ukraine and Russia conducted an exchange that included the bodies of soldiers killed in action (KIA) on June 16 in accordance with agreements reached during talks in Istanbul on June 2.

Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SZRU) reported that the Kremlin is spreading narratives about the POW and KIA exchanges in order to sow panic in Ukraine and discredit Ukraine in the international community – in line with ISW’s recent assessments.

Russia’s consumption of its Soviet-era tank stores appears to be slowing, possibly due to Russia’s increasing transition to using motorcycles and all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) on the battlefield.

Russia continues to set conditions to pose a long-term strategic threat to the United States and its Western allies even after the end to Russia’s war in Ukraine.

Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Borova and in Zaporizhia Oblast, and Russian forces recently advanced near Siversk, Toretsk, and Novopavlivka.

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